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Dec 13 2024
Software

12 Trends to Watch for the 2025 City and County Outlook

Alan Shark says artificial intelligence may dominate the landscape, but local governments also have other concerns.

Each year, many of us dust off our digital crystal balls and make predictions for the year ahead. In years past, I have offered my annual take on what trends will be most prevalent in cities and counties nationwide. This year’s outlook is remarkably different from previous years’. We begin the new year with renewed fear regarding political and economic insecurity. Recently, we expressed concern over the digital divide and the challenges we can expect to face, especially with the evolution of and interest in artificial intelligence. Now, we have added the AI divide to the list.

Nevertheless, here are my predictions — and I am happy to report that there are many areas for optimism and growth. I have included a recommended action for local government CIOs with regard to each of these recommendations. 

Click the banner to review the top state and local government IT influencers.

 

1. AIoE in Ascension

While the Internet of Everything focuses on the interconnectedness of people, processes, data and things, we now enter AIoE, which extends the IoE concept by adding a layer of AI across everything connected. It implies that the interconnected elements are linked and made intelligent, with AI enabling autonomous decision-making, predictions and optimizations.

Action: Recognize

2. Overcoming AI Fatigue

AI appears everywhere and is creeping into everything digital. It is understandably the main topic of discussion and concern for all IT leaders. AI fatigue refers to the exhaustion or sense of being overwhelmed by the rapid proliferation and constant engagement with AI technologies, including the pressures to do more and budget more. There is often a gap between the ambitious promises of AI capabilities and the actual results delivered in government applications. This mismatch can lead to skepticism and fatigue among government officials and employees.

Action: Recognize

3. Conversational AI: The Rise and Acceptance of Chatbots

With humans no longer tethered to keyboards, AI has progressed, making way for conversational AI. Chatbots can hold quick two-way conversations that can instantly be translated into dozens of different languages. Local governments, being closest to their citizens, can embrace AI and voice technologies in many significant ways. The future of AI-powered voice applications shows great promise. With the advent of emotional intelligence interfaces, one can imagine some rather intriguing applications. 

Action: Consider and adopt

RELATED: Cloud contact centers improve citizen experiences.

4. Collaborative Technologies, Front and Center

Collaborative technologies continue gaining traction, mainly in real time, so many workers can telework. Collaborative technologies are tools, platforms and systems designed to facilitate teamwork and collaboration among individuals or groups, often in real time and across geographic locations. These technologies enable communication, information sharing, project management and content co-creation. Examples include videoconferencing tools (Zoom, Microsoft Teams) and collaborative document editing platforms.

Action: Adopt and promote

Click the banner to begin optimizing your collaboration environment.

 

5. AI Policies, Guidelines and Enforcement

Over 700 local governments and thousands of schools and universities continue to develop policies that provide rules and guidance on the appropriate use of AI. Instead of relying heavily on guardrails, state and local governments are beginning to see the need for guide rails. Guide rails are more proactive and are used to steer or guide the behavior of AI systems toward desired outcomes. Guide rails provide recommendations to AI systems to help them make better decisions or reach specific goals. Unlike guardrails, which primarily focus on preventing undesirable outcomes, guide rails focus on actively shaping the behavior of AI systems to optimize performance or achieve desired objectives. 

Missing in most policies and guidelines are penalties for when someone violates AI policies, intentionally or unintentionally. This year, there will be a focus on enforcement. 

Action: Develop, promulgate and enforce

6. Cyber AI for Better Security 

Cyber AI in local government involves using AI to enhance cybersecurity measures, improve decision-making and streamline operations. It helps detect and respond to cyberthreats in real time, manages data securely and protects sensitive citizen information. Cyber AI can also automate tasks such as network monitoring, identifying vulnerabilities and providing predictive insights to prevent attacks. By leveraging AI, local governments can improve the efficiency and resilience of their digital infrastructure while maintaining public trust.

Action: Embrace

7. The AI Divide

The AI divide refers to the gap between individuals, communities, organizations or nations in their access to, adoption of and benefit from AI technologies. This divide can arise due to differences in resource, infrastructure, education and technical expertise. It mirrors other digital divides, potentially exacerbating existing social and economic inequalities by giving those with greater access to AI tools a significant advantage in innovation, productivity and decision-making while leaving others behind. Addressing the AI divide is crucial for equitable technological advancement.

Action: Recognize and act

8. A Return to On-Premises 

For years, cloud computing was primarily promoted to replace on-premises networks and storage. It turns out that much broadband connectivity has yet to keep up with the growing need for speed. Even with data pushed to the edge, many local governments are reconsidering their cloud strategies to improve reliability and quicker response rates. The cost of on-premises also has come down dramatically, it requires less space, and it has become far more economical to maintain and operate. As the cost of storage continues to increase, moving back to on-premises may be more cost-effective. Ultimately, we expect growth in hybrid configurations. 

Action: Revisit and consider

DIVE DEEPER: Modular data centers offer options for state and local agencies.

9. Digital Identity and AI

Governments are introducing digital identification methods to simplify access to public services. For instance, the U.K. plans to allow citizens to use smartphones to verify their age when purchasing alcohol, aiming to modernize and secure identity verification processes. Examples include digital wallets. Digital AI will be able to search numerous databases instead of just verifying one's identity.

Action: Embrace

10. The Rising Cost of Tech 

Once promoted as saving money overall, technology now costs more. Technology managers can struggle to keep up due to shorter product lifecycles, the need for updates and maintenance, and the cost of individual licenses. Rising costs will cause tech rationing and tech downsizing.

Action: Recognize and plan ahead

11. Tech Talent Challenges 

The challenge of attracting and retaining tech talent will continue throughout 2025 as local governments struggle to maintain current market conditions that favor the private sector and larger government entities. Expect to see more local governments turn to managed service providers and reach out to recent retirees who may be willing to work under more limited and flexible working conditions. 

Action: Recognize and innovate

12. Vendor Consolidation: Fewer Choices

Consolidation has ravaged the vendor community, leaving local governments with fewer choices and slimmer service offerings. To counter this worrisome trend, expect local governments to band together for group purchasing and shared services. Such unification provides a stronger cohesive front and a unified voice when advocating for better service solutions.

Action: Organize a collective voice

UP NEXT: How Can You Prepare Your Cloud to Safely Implement AI?
 

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